Before we actually look ahead, let’s go back 3 months from now. In the beginning of October last year, the team was in a turmoil. The very much hyped coach Mr. Steve Darby had submitted his resignation and the team was without the headmaster. I League was due to start and the whole club was uncertain about our future in the 2011-12 I league. The officials appointment the supporters’ favourite, our very own, Bablu da as Technical Director along with Prashanta Banerjee as the coach. Along with euphoria, there was also a bit of scepticism of the new pair of coaches in the club. However, it is needless to say that after almost four since the two have paired, they have combined well and have been complementary to each other.
The I League started well for us with 5 victories in the first 6 matches, significant among those were the victories against Mumbai FC, Churchill Brothers and East Bengal FC. The black mark during that period was the away defeat against Dempo (However the team played without any foreigners). With 15 points in 6 matches, suddenly the supporters started smelling the I league after 10 years. Then came a slide in our performance. We could secure only 9 points from the remaining 7 matches in the I League. We lost to Prayag United and Pune FC during this period. We lost valuable 2 points in each of the Lajong, Sporting and Salgoacar matches. We were able to win only 2 matches, against HAL and Air India, during the last 7 matches of the I league. Only if could have managed 12-13 points in these 7 matches we would have sat top of the point table right now.
At the end of 1st Leg of the I league we are in the 4th position at 24 points, 3 points behind the leader.
Now, let’s really Look Ahead.
– Can we be the India Champions this year ?
– How many points are required to become the Champion ?
– What is needed to get those points ?
These are the three basic questions we have at this moment. We would love to leave the technical issues with the TD and Coach at this moment. We would only try to get some reasonable answers to the three questions.
– To start with the easy one first ; Yes, we can be the India Champions this year. We think almost all Mohun Bagan supporters across the globe believe so. Most importantly, not only the supporters, but this time the players along with TD & Coach also believes, that this time “We Can Do It”. With only 3 points behind the leader, we are very much in the race.
– How many points are actually required to become the Champion ? This is the most tough one actually. It is easy to answer mathematically. Even if we win all matches, and the current League leader Dempo wins all (except against us), the two teams will be tied at same points and head-to-head situation. However, realistically, Dempo again may get 25-30 points in the Second leg along with Churchill, who has an extra match to play. So it seems, Churchill or Dempo should finish the league at around 52-57 points. Going by this calculation, we need minimum 55 points and 60 points would be safe enough to be champion. Simple calculation says, to get 60 points, we need 36 points from 13 matches, which means 12 wins and to get 55 points we need 31 points from 2nd leg which is 7 points more than what we got in 1st leg.
– Now what is needed to get 31 points in this 2 leg. Answer is again very simple here. We need to win 10 matches out of 13 and draw one. We have to win HAL, Air India, Poilan, Lajong, Prayag, East Bengal, Pune FC, Mumbai FC and Chirag Kerala matches . Besides we are also facing Dempo in Kolkata, which we should look to win. We need to get at least 26 points from these ten matches, if not thirty. The remaining three matches are in Goa against Churchill, Sporting and Salgoacar. We have the potential to get 9 points from these three matches, but minimum requirement would be 5 points. We should win against Sporting in the away match and expect a couple of more from the other two matches. We have very fond memory of winning against Churchill in a away match under Bablu da as coach and Barreto as a player. We hope history will be repeated this year again. So 26 points in Non Goa matches and 5 points in Goa match will give us 31 points, which we believe is a reasonable and gettable target at this point of time. For this we need a fit team and hopes the key members like Kingshuk, Anwar, Nabi, Barreto, Odafa, Lima , Surkumar and Sunil stay fit and play most of the matches in the rest of the I league. Results in a football match cannot be predicted but what we can expect that all players play more than their 100% in these 13 matches and show the same urgency as they had shown in the 7th January Derby. If this happens, we are sure we will have a lot to cheer about at the end of the tournament.
Hence, the first two matches of the 2nd Leg in Goa against Churchill and Sporting on the 15th and 19th will set the tempo for the rest of the I league. We will surely miss Sunil, but hopes Barreto is fully fit and will get 180 minutes service from him. If we can return with 4 points from Goa, then we are in the race for sure.
To sign off, assuming if this year turns out to be Barreto’s last, it will a wonderful moment for all Mohun Baganis if Barreto, as a captain, picks up the I league trophy. This will also be an apt home coming for our great Bablu da . Actually, can’t wait for the moment to happen….. Barreto and Bablu lifting the I League with Odafa , Nabi and other dancing around and we jumping and crying in the stands.
Joy Mohun Bagan
[From the desk of Souvik Goswami, Kuwait]
